Cruz Azul vs Atlas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cruz Azul. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Cruz AzulGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.040 | A: -0.016Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Cruz Azul has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Cruz Azul – Atlas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Dinamo Zagreb - NK Varazdin | 1.64 | -10.11% |
| WIN | Al Wahda Abu Dhabi U23 - Al Nasr SC U23 | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Al Najma - Al Jandal | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | AKS SMS Lodz - Orzel Parzeczew | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | South Coast Flame FC - Gladesville Ryde Magic | 1.73 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale | 1.68 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | Olympic Kingsway - Fremantle City FC | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | EC Sao Bernardo U20 - Velo Clube U20 | 1.74 | -10.11% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Antigua GFC - CSD Comunicaciones | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 23 Aug 02:00 |
| Piratas - Cancun FC | 1 | 1.63 | -4.66% | 23 Aug 03:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 23 Aug 03:00 |
| CSA Steaua Bucuresti - CSC Dumbravita | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 23 Aug 10:00 |
| Xiamen Feilu - Wenzhou FC | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 23 Aug 13:30 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns - Golden Arrows | 1 | 1.64 | -4.66% | 23 Aug 15:00 |