Model: TIPPSH

CA Brown de Adrogue vs CSD Flandria

PREDICTION

@ 2.24

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 27, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 47d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Brown de Adrogue. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA Brown de AdrogueGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.24Now

Max odds2.57Highest point

Min odds2.24Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA Brown de AdrogueHOME

CSD FlandriaAWAY

WLDLW

Recent form

LLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.60

Shots on target for

4.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.40

Home splitW-L-L-L-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-D0.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.24. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera B Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.24

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. CA Brown de Adrogue is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -6.4% 7D: -9.3% 15D: -7.5% 30D: -2.0%

Model insight

CA Brown de Adrogue – CSD Flandria Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample437

Win Rate46.5%

Profit+2.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	2.02	1.04%
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LOSS	Skive - Fremad Amager	2.01	1.31%
LOSS	CD Moron Reserves - Club Atletico Mitre Reserves	2.20	1.31%
WIN	Dunajska Streda U19 - ZP Sport Podbrezova U19	2.08	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.24

Kickoff

Giu 27, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 47d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 1h ago