Model: TIPPSH

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs SD Atletico Nacional

PREDICTION

@ 1.84

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 2

StartStarted 4h 50m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CA Independiente de la Chorrera ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.015 | A: 0.018

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current1.84Now

Max odds1.87Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CA Independiente de la Chorrera ReservesHOME

SD Atletico NacionalAWAY

WDDWW

Recent form

LLLWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.60

Shots on target for

5.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

5.60

Home splitW-W-W-D-D1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-W1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.84. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Panama Liga Prom (pa). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.84

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 33.4% 7D: 26.1% 15D: 4.0% 30D: 4.3%

Model insight

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves – SD Atletico Nacional Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample610

Win Rate51.5%

Profit-10.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Estoril - Rio Ave	2.05	1.31%
WIN	NK Vrhnika - ND Dravinja	2.00	1.31%
WIN	FC Rustavi - FC Gagra	1.81	1.04%
WIN	Progres Sakiet Eddaier - JS Omrane	1.91	1.04%
LOSS	SV Lafnitz - SV Tillmitsch	1.78	1.04%
LOSS	Brentwood Town - Enfield Town	2.02	1.31%
WIN	FK Prepere - Turnov	1.91	1.04%
LOSS	West Adelaide (W) - Salisbury Inter (W)	1.83	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.84

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 4h 50m ago

Updated

Updated 6h 52m ago