Sportivo Ameliano – Deportivo Recoleta

Model: TIPPSH

Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.96
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 5m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo Ameliano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo AmelianoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.020 | A: -0.020

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.04First seen
Current1.96Now
Max odds2.14Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo AmelianoHOME
VS
Deportivo RecoletaAWAY
WLLWD
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.60
Shots on target for
4.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
7.00
Home splitW-L-W-D-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-W1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Profesional (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.96
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Sportivo Ameliano a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 38.9% 7D: 2.1% 15D: 3.6% 30D: 3.5%
Model insight

Sportivo Ameliano – Deportivo Recoleta Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample783
Win Rate49.9%
Profit-18.99u
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Pick
1 @ 1.96
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 5m ago
Updated
Updated 2h 7m ago
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