Caen – Paris 13 Atletico

Model: TIPPSH

Caen vs Paris 13 Atletico

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 15, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 4
StartStarted 13h 10m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Caen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Caen

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current2.00Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CaenHOME
VS
Paris 13 AtleticoAWAY
LWLDW
Recent form
WWLDD
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
5.20
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
4.60
Home splitL-D-W-D1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-L1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Caen has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.7% 7D: -5.3% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 14.8%
Model insight

Caen – Paris 13 Atletico Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample285
Win Rate45.6%
Profit-11.97u
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Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Lug 15, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 13h 10m ago
Updated
Updated 15h 12m ago
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