Hanworth Villa – Evesham United

Model: TIPPSH

Hanworth Villa vs Evesham United

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.87
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 6h 49m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hanworth Villa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hanworth VillaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.098 | A: -0.066

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.87Now
Max odds1.87Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hanworth VillaHOME
VS
Evesham UnitedAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WLWDD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.60
Shots on target for
6.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.87. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Southern Premier League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.87
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Hanworth Villa a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hanworth Villa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 51.8% 7D: 1.1% 15D: 3.1% 30D: 3.5%
Model insight

Hanworth Villa – Evesham United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample324
Win Rate51.9%
Profit-1.35u
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LOSSCriciuma U20 - Chapecoense U202.043.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.87
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 6h 49m
Updated
Updated 11h 12m ago
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