Chelsea vs Real Sociedad
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chelsea. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChelseaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.059 | A: -0.007Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Chelsea is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Chelsea – Real Sociedad Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Iberia 1999 - Larne FC | 1.74 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Institute - Ballinamallard Utd | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Ards FC - Dundela | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Clydebank FC - Hibernian B | 1.70 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Real Salt Lake - Juarez FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | FC Astana - Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - Necaxa | 1.73 | -4.66% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Strabane Athletic (W) - Mid Ulster (W) | 1 | 1.67 | -9.21% | 12 Aug 20:30 |
| Morocco (W) - Cameroon (W) | 1 | 1.71 | -7.35% | 12 Aug 22:00 |
| San Diego FC - Puebla | 1 | 1.62 | -4.66% | 13 Aug 04:15 |
| Neom SC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 14 Aug 18:50 |
| Odense BK - AC Horsens | 1 | 1.69 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 14:00 |
| Frosinone - Juve Stabia | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 18:00 |