Chesham vs Walton & Hersham
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chesham. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CheshamGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.249 | A: -0.093Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Chesham's attacking profile.
Chesham – Walton & Hersham Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | PPJ (W) - GrIFK (W) | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Guria Lanchkhuti - FC Iberia 1999 II | 1.65 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Northern Tigers U20 - Macarthur Rams U20 | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Sport Huancayo II - CD Estudiantil CNI | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Al Urooba - Al Dhaid | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Jadran Dekani - NK Jesenice | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | FK Auda - Tukums 2000 | 1.57 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Orsomarso (W) - Deportivo Pasto (W) | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Przysucha - Blonianka Blonie | 1 | 1.67 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 13:00 |
| FA 2000 - Brabrand | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| Frem - ASA Aarhus | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 14:00 |
| FK Sveikata - FK Panevezys II | 1 | 1.60 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 15:00 |
| Aberystwyth - Llantwit Major | 1 | 1.55 | -3.82% | 22 Aug 15:30 |
| Kelty Hearts - Dumbarton | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| Atvidabergs FF - Angelholm | 1 | 1.70 | -3.82% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| Hanworth Villa - Evesham United | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 22 Aug 16:00 |