Model: TIPPSH

Piratas vs Cancun FC

PREDICTION

@ 1.63

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 21h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 49m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Piratas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PiratasGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.018 | A: -0.082

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PiratasHOME

Cancun FCAWAY

LWWD

Recent form

WLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.50

1.80

Shots on target for

3.75

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

1.00

7.20

Home splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-W-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga de Expansion (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.63

V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356

V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Piratas, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 51.2% 7D: -5.3% 15D: 0.1% 30D: 3.3%

Model insight

Piratas – Cancun FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample386

Win Rate61.7%

Profit+13.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Real Oviedo B - Caudal	1.72	-7.35%
WIN	Club Sport Colombia - Presidente Hayes	1.69	-9.21%
LOSS	UMF Selfoss - Kari	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Nairn County - Lossiemouth	1.63	-7.35%
LOSS	CD Marathon - Alianza FC	1.65	-9.21%
WIN	New York City FC II - FC Cincinnati II	1.75	-4.66%
LOSS	One Knoxville SC - Portland Hearts of Pine	1.66	-7.35%
WIN	Wigan - Aston Villa U21	1.68	-9.21%

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Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - Fram Reykjavik (W)	1	1.69	-9.21%	20 Aug 20:00
Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	1	1.67	-4.66%	21 Aug 12:00
PK-35 - JaPS	1	1.63	-9.21%	21 Aug 18:00
Vejle - Esbjerg	1	1.66	-4.66%	21 Aug 18:00
FC Fredericia - Aarhus Fremad	1	1.63	-9.89%	21 Aug 19:00

Pick

1 @ 1.63

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-4.66% • n=356

Start

Starts in 2d 21h

Updated

Updated 1h 49m ago