Tobol Kostanay vs FK Atyrau
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tobol Kostanay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Tobol KostanayGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: -0.011Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Tobol Kostanay showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tobol Kostanay's attacking profile.
Tobol Kostanay – FK Atyrau Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | PPJ U21 - Atlantis U21 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Palmerston Rovers FC - Garuda FC | 1.66 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo - Austin FC | 1.74 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | Isloch - FC Baranovichi | 1.74 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Sporting - Monaco | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Laval - Concarneau | 1.75 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Alianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas | 1.68 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Sarpsborg - Ham-Kam | 1 | 1.65 | -7.35% | 26 Jul 17:00 |
| Moss - Raufoss | 1 | 1.68 | -4.66% | 26 Jul 17:00 |