Tobol Kostanay – FK Atyrau

Model: TIPPSH

Tobol Kostanay vs FK Atyrau

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 1h 44m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 46m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tobol Kostanay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tobol KostanayGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: -0.011

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current1.71Now
Max odds1.83Highest point
Min odds1.56Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tobol KostanayHOME
VS
FK AtyrauAWAY
WDDWL
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
6.60
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
6.00
Home splitW-W-W-W-L1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-D0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.71
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Tobol Kostanay showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tobol Kostanay's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -16.5% 7D: 2.7% 15D: 10.6% 30D: 21.3%
Model insight

Tobol Kostanay – FK Atyrau Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample248
Win Rate58.1%
Profit-6.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPPJ U21 - Atlantis U211.67-9.21%
WINPalmerston Rovers FC - Garuda FC1.66-9.21%
WINHouston Dynamo - Austin FC1.74-4.66%
LOSSIsloch - FC Baranovichi1.74-7.35%
LOSSZawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew1.69-9.21%
WINSporting - Monaco1.65-9.21%
LOSSLaval - Concarneau1.75-9.21%
WINAlianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas1.68-7.35%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC11.63-7.35%05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia11.70-9.21%07 Jun 18:00
Sarpsborg - Ham-Kam11.65-7.35%26 Jul 17:00
Moss - Raufoss11.68-4.66%26 Jul 17:00
Pick
1 @ 1.71
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 1h 44m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 46m ago
Torna in alto