De Graafschap vs Almere City FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is De Graafschap. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: De GraafschapGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.184 | A: 0.081Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.43. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
De Graafschap – Almere City FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Moik Baku - FK Sahdag Qusar | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Levante UD (W) - Villarreal (W) | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Cittadella - Renate | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Sri Lanka U20 - Maldives U20 | 2.66 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Ntugasaze FC - Maroons | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Carl Zeiss Jena - VSG Altglienicke | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| FC Cajamarca - Atletico Grau | 1 | 2.34 | 1.59% | 21 Aug 19:00 |
| Nyiregyhaza Spartacus - Paksi | 1 | 2.22 | 1.31% | 29 Aug 14:45 |
| Bayswater City - Olympic Kingsway | 1 | 2.38 | 1.59% | 04 Sep 13:00 |
| Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv | 1 | 2.21 | 1.04% | 04 Sep 20:15 |
| Houston Dynamo II - Austin FC II | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 05 Sep 01:00 |