Model: TIPPSA

Wenzhou FC vs Shenzhen 2028

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 22h 31m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shenzhen 2028. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shenzhen 2028Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.022 | A: 0.047

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.89First seen

Current2.11Now

Max odds2.11Highest point

Min odds1.89Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Wenzhou FCHOME

Shenzhen 2028AWAY

DDLDD

Recent form

DWLWW

Avg goals scored

0.40

2.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

1.80

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

1.40

Home splitD-L-D-L-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-D-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.11

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Shenzhen 2028's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -20.8% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 0.1% 30D: 3.7%

Model insight

Wenzhou FC – Shenzhen 2028 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample121

Win Rate52.1%

Profit+12.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	SK Beveren - Anderlecht	2.36	0.84%
LOSS	St Mochtas - Malahide Utd	2.20	1.21%
LOSS	Pors Grenland - Bjarg	2.20	1.21%
WIN	Moggill - Newmarket	2.06	1.21%
WIN	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2.04	1.21%
WIN	MFK Skalica - FC Kosice	2.17	1.21%
LOSS	Bamber Bridge - Ashton Utd	2.09	1.21%
WIN	Vag FK - Mandalskameratene	2.10	1.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Molde 2 - Rosenborg 2	2	2.09	1.76%	17 Aug 15:00
Hapoel Ramat Gan - Beitar Jerusalem	2	2.33	0.84%	17 Aug 19:00

Pick

2 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 22h 31m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 1h ago