Model: TIPPSA

St Mochtas vs Malahide Utd

PREDICTION

@ 2.14

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 1d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Malahide Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Malahide UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.075 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.75First seen

Current2.14Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds1.66Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St MochtasHOME

Malahide UtdAWAY

WLLWW

Recent form

LWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.00

Shots on target for

6.40

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

7.20

3.40

Home splitW-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.14. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.14

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Malahide Utd. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -24.1% 7D: -17.7% 15D: -0.3% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

St Mochtas – Malahide Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample131

Win Rate51.9%

Profit+14.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Beitar Jerusalem	2.33	0.84%
LOSS	Molde 2 - Rosenborg 2	2.09	1.76%
LOSS	SK Beveren - Anderlecht	2.36	0.84%
LOSS	Wenzhou FC - Shenzhen 2028	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Pors Grenland - Bjarg	2.20	1.21%
WIN	Moggill - Newmarket	2.06	1.21%
WIN	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2.04	1.21%
WIN	Pacos Ferreira - Paredes	2.38	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.14

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 1d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 9h ago