Deportes Quindio – Envigado FC

Model: TIPPSH

Deportes Quindio vs Envigado FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.32
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 24, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 5h 4m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportes Quindio. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportes QuindioGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: -0.051

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportes QuindioHOME
VS
Envigado FCAWAY
DDWLL
Recent form
LDLWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
4.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
4.80
Home splitD-W-L-L-W0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.32. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera B (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.32
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportes Quindio's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 35.8% 7D: 28.6% 15D: 3.0% 30D: 5.3%
Model insight

Deportes Quindio – Envigado FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample458
Win Rate45.4%
Profit+9.83u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINDubba Al Husun - Al Hamriyah2.081.31%
WINEB/Streymur - AB Argir2.391.59%
WINAC Taverne - FC Wettswil-Bonstetten2.201.04%
WINSagamihara - Zweigen Kanazawa2.291.59%
WINLeon U19 - Monterrey U192.251.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.32
Kickoff
Ago 24, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 5h 4m
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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