Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Deportivo Maldonado. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Deportivo MaldonadoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Apertura (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Deportivo Maldonado is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Deportivo Maldonado – Boston River Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wexford FC - Kerry FC | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Alamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W) | 1.90 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Houston FC - Hill Country Lobos | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Jecheon Citizen - Gijang United | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 - Gremio U20 | 1.99 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Paysandu - Santa Cruz FC | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Landskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo | 2.02 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |