Deportivo Maldonado – Boston River

Model: TIPPSH

Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.77
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 60d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 60d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Maldonado. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo Maldonado

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current1.77Now
Max odds1.88Highest point
Min odds1.77Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo MaldonadoHOME
VS
Boston RiverAWAY
WWLDW
Recent form
LLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.60
Shots on target for
4.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
8.20
Home splitW-L-W2.33 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Apertura (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.77
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportivo Maldonado's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -34.8% 7D: -18.6% 15D: -8.4% 30D: 6.5%
Model insight

Deportivo Maldonado – Boston River Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample235
Win Rate52.8%
Profit-0.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINHouston FC - Hill Country Lobos1.853.37%
WINBeijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan1.783.37%
LOSSJecheon Citizen - Gijang United1.883.37%
WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
LOSSPaysandu - Santa Cruz FC1.813.37%
WINLandskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo2.023.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.77
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 60d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 60d 23h ago
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