Model: TIPPSA

SD Aucas vs LDU Quito

PREDICTION

@ 2.65

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 7h 25m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is LDU Quito. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LDU QuitoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.021 | A: -0.004

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.14First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds3.18Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SD AucasHOME

LDU QuitoAWAY

DWWLL

Recent form

DLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

4.20

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

2.00

Home splitW-L-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-L-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.65. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.65

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, LDU Quito shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. LDU Quito has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -23.4% 7D: -18.9% 15D: -0.8% 30D: 3.0%

Model insight

SD Aucas – LDU Quito Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample131

Win Rate42.0%

Profit+11.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	JK Viljandi Tulevik - FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2.80	4.96%
WIN	Sportivo Trinidense (W) - Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	2.54	4.13%
LOSS	Orlando City SC - FC Cincinnati	2.72	3.59%
WIN	Crawley Town - Crewe	2.59	4.13%
WIN	FC Utrecht - AZ	2.47	3.59%
LOSS	CA Brown de Adrogue U20 - Estudiantes de Buenos Aires U20	2.64	3.59%
LOSS	FC ML Vitebsk - Borac Banja Luka	2.70	3.43%
WIN	SV Ried - Rapid Vienna	2.40	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.65

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214

Start

Starts in 7h 25m

Updated

Updated 6m ago