Model: TIPPSH

El Paso Locomotive FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

PREDICTION

@ 2.24

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 27, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is El Paso Locomotive FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: El Paso Locomotive FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.017 | A: 0.156

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.22First seen

Current2.24Now

Max odds2.24Highest point

Min odds2.22Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

El Paso Locomotive FCHOME

Pittsburgh RiverhoundsAWAY

WWWLW

Recent form

WWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.40

Shots on target for

6.40

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

2.40

Home splitW-W-W-L-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-D-D0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.24. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.24

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. El Paso Locomotive FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 31.5% 7D: 24.7% 15D: 1.7% 30D: 4.5%

Model insight

El Paso Locomotive FC – Pittsburgh Riverhounds Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample560

Win Rate45.9%

Profit-2.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Real Esteli - Diriangen	2.42	1.59%
WIN	AC Taverne - FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	2.20	1.04%
WIN	Leon U19 - Monterrey U19	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - GV San Jose	2.10	1.31%
LOSS	Estoril - Rio Ave	2.05	1.31%
WIN	NK Vrhnika - ND Dravinja	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Koninklijke HFC - Barendrecht	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	NK Bilje - NK Bistrica	2.20	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.24

Kickoff

Ago 27, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 3d 22h

Updated

Updated 9m ago