Ethio Electric FC – Dire Dawa

Model: TIPPSH

Ethio Electric FC vs Dire Dawa

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 53d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ethio Electric FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ethio Electric FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.74Now
Max odds2.74Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ethio Electric FCHOME
VS
Dire DawaAWAY
DLWLL
Recent form
DLLDD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
2.00
1.40
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
2.40
Home splitD-W-L-D-D1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-L-W0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.74. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ethiopia Premier League (et). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.74
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.6% 7D: 15.1% 15D: 6.1% 30D: 0.9%
Model insight

Ethio Electric FC – Dire Dawa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate38.5%
Profit0.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBrisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers2.501.59%
WINLogan Lightning - Ipswich FC2.721.41%
WINAarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF2.641.41%
WINAthlone Town - Cobh Ramblers2.511.59%
LOSSAthletic Club MG - Operario PR2.491.59%
LOSSFC Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi2.501.59%
LOSSCA Patrocinense - Uberaba2.511.59%
WINLos Angeles FC II - Houston Dynamo II2.721.59%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning12.551.59%23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves12.651.59%30 May 16:00
Pick
1 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 53d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 8h ago
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