Model: TIPPSH
Ethio Electric FC – Dire Dawa
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 6d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ethio Electric FC | Dire Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-L-L | D-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L-D-D (home) | D-L-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded | 0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 1.60 against | 1.40 for / 2.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.40 for / 2.20 against (home) | 1.40 for / 2.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.74Now
Max odds2.74Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ethio Electric FC – Dire Dawa Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+2.40u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Yazaki Valente FC - Chukyo University | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Bavois - SC Cham | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Yangpyeong FC - Gangneung City | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Albirex Niigata - Ehime FC | 2.65 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Rot-Weiss Essen - Greuther Furth | 2.65 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sarpsborg - Molde | 2.61 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Volta Redonda - Avai | 2.67 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | SJK - AC Oulu | 2.59 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 6d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 9h ago