Model: TIPPSH

FC Ilves vs SJK

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 27, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Ilves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Ilves

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.14First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.35Highest point

Min odds2.14Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC IlvesHOME

SJKAWAY

LWWWL

Recent form

DLWLL

Avg goals scored

2.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.20

2.00

Shots on target for

6.40

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

6.00

Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-W-D2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FC Ilves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.5% 7D: -9.7% 15D: -6.6% 30D: -3.5%

Model insight

FC Ilves – SJK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample154

Win Rate46.8%

Profit+5.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Lilla Torg FF - Torns IF	2.05	1.31%
WIN	FK Transinvest (W) - Kauno Rajono FA (W)	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - CA Atlas Reserves	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Alftanes - Arborg	2.17	1.31%
LOSS	La Serena - Cobresal	2.05	1.31%
WIN	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	2.19	1.04%
LOSS	BATE Borisov - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	FC Merani Tbilisi - FC Orbi	2.31	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Club Atletico Mitre Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves	1	2.37	1.59%	25 Jun 17:00
Egypt - Iran	1	2.47	1.59%	27 Jun 05:00
University NSW - Sutherland Sharks	1	2.22	1.31%	27 Jun 07:00
HJK Helsinki - KuPS Kuopio	1	2.30	1.59%	27 Jun 16:00
Congo DR - Uzbekistan	1	2.10	1.31%	28 Jun 01:30

Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Giu 27, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 1d 22h

Updated

Updated 15m ago