Model: TIPPSH

Al Ahed vs Safa Beirut

PREDICTION

@ 2.04

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 1d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Ahed. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Ahed

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.03First seen

Current2.04Now

Max odds2.05Highest point

Min odds2.02Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al AhedHOME

Safa BeirutAWAY

WLWLL

Recent form

LWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.75

Shots on target for

3.20

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.75

Home splitW-W-L2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-W2.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon League (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.04

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.5% 7D: -9.7% 15D: -6.6% 30D: -3.5%

Model insight

Al Ahed – Safa Beirut Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample255

Win Rate45.9%

Profit-19.77u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Corpus Christi FC - Antelope Valley Alta	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Lilla Torg FF - Torns IF	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Shandong (W)	1.85	1.04%
WIN	FK Transinvest (W) - Kauno Rajono FA (W)	2.10	1.04%
WIN	Alftanes - Arborg	2.17	1.31%
LOSS	La Serena - Cobresal	2.05	1.31%
WIN	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	2.19	1.04%
WIN	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - Huracan (W)	1.90	1.04%

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University NSW - Sutherland Sharks	1	2.22	1.31%	27 Jun 07:00
Congo DR - Uzbekistan	1	2.10	1.31%	28 Jun 01:30
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Pick

1 @ 2.04

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 1d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 3h ago