Fencibles United vs Tauranga City AFC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fencibles United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Fencibles UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Fencibles United is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Fencibles United – Tauranga City AFC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev | 1.73 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20 | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | NEC - Al Fayha | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Oriente Petrolero | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W) | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town - Briton Ferry | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 21 Jul 20:30 |
| Toluca - Unam Pumas | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 22 Jul 05:00 |
| Rangers - St Etienne | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 22 Jul 20:45 |
| Lugano - KF Dukagjini | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 23 Jul 20:30 |