Model: TIPPSH
Freiburg II vs Hessen Kassel
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.27
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 43m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.70% · n=209
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Freiburg II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Freiburg IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
25/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.32First seen
Current2.27Now
Max odds2.32Highest point
Min odds2.27Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Freiburg IIHOME
VS
Hessen KasselAWAY
DWLLW
Recent form
WLLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.40
Shots on target for
N/A
0.00
SoT conceded pressure
N/A
12.00
Home splitL-W-W3.00 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.27. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.70% based on n=209 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Regionalliga South West (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.27
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandNONEROI -0.70% · n=209
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.0%
7D: -19.3%
15D: 2.7%
30D: 5.1%
Model insight
Freiburg II – Hessen Kassel Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.70% across 209 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample428
Win Rate47.2%
Profit+16.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - University NSW U20 | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Tauro FC Reserves - San Martin FC | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Pacatuba - Esporte Limoeiro | 2.44 | 1.59% |
| WIN | JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Tigre U20 - Racing Club U20 | 2.21 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Newell's U20 - San Lorenzo U20 | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Kahibah FC - Cooks Hill United | 2.33 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Northampton - Swindon | 2.13 | 1.04% |
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Pick
1 @ 2.27
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.70% • n=209
Start
Starts in 3h 43m
Updated
Updated 10m ago