Model: TIPPSH

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultWIN4 - 2

StartStarted 52d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Beer Sheva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel Beer Sheva

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.95First seen

Current2.00Now

Max odds2.00Highest point

Min odds1.63Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Beer ShevaHOME

Maccabi Tel AvivAWAY

WWDWW

Recent form

LLWDD

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.60

Shots on target for

6.00

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

6.60

Home splitW-W-D-W-W2.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-L-W1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel Premier League (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.00

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hapoel Beer Sheva's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 9.6% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 4.6% 30D: 0.6%

Model insight

Hapoel Beer Sheva – Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample14

Win Rate57.1%

Profit+1.82u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Keflavik - Thor Akureyri	1.82	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%

Pick

1 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 52d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 53d 2h ago