Model: TIPPSH

Harrogate Town vs Barrow

PREDICTION

@ 2.26

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 19h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Harrogate Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Harrogate TownGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: -0.055

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.36First seen

Current2.26Now

Max odds2.36Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Harrogate TownHOME

BarrowAWAY

WWWDW

Recent form

LLWWD

Avg goals scored

2.80

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

6.00

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.40

Home splitW-W-D-L-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.26

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Harrogate Town a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Harrogate Town has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -0.4% 7D: -14.4% 15D: -1.4% 30D: 2.4%

Model insight

Harrogate Town – Barrow Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample485

Win Rate47.2%

Profit+16.52u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FK Zhenys - Kaisar Kyzylorda	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Miedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	SK Pama - SV Leithaprodersdorf	2.45	1.59%
WIN	Lettir Reykjavik - BF 108	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	Scolar Resita - Petrolul Ploiesti	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	SC Farense U23 - Estoril U23	2.37	1.59%
WIN	Hapoel Rishon Lezion - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2.14	1.31%
LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	2.15	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.26

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 2d 19h

Updated

Updated 16m ago