Model: TIPPSA

Helsingborg vs Varbergs BoIS FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 54d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Varbergs BoIS FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.44First seen

Current2.61Now

Max odds2.61Highest point

Min odds2.43Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HelsingborgHOME

Varbergs BoIS FCAWAY

LDDWL

Recent form

WWWDD

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.00

Shots on target for

4.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

2.20

Home splitL-D-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-D2.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Superettan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 16.6% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 1.7%

Model insight

Helsingborg – Varbergs BoIS FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample114

Win Rate41.2%

Profit+7.07u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Fencibles United - East Coast Bays	2.81	4.96%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
WIN	New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)	2.86	4.96%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%
LOSS	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota	2.56	3.43%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - SJK	2.51	4.13%
LOSS	Cadiz - Leganes	2.86	4.96%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 54d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 18h ago