Model: TIPPSH

Juan Pablo II College vs AD Tarma

PREDICTION

@ 2.14

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 12:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 6h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Juan Pablo II College. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Juan Pablo II CollegeGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: -0.048

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.12First seen

Current2.14Now

Max odds2.14Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Juan Pablo II CollegeHOME

AD TarmaAWAY

LDLWD

Recent form

DDLLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.40

Shots on target for

4.40

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.80

Home splitD-W-D-D-L0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-L-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.14. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.14

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Juan Pablo II College a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Juan Pablo II College's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.6% 7D: -23.7% 15D: -5.1% 30D: 0.7%

Model insight

Juan Pablo II College – AD Tarma Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample588

Win Rate48.6%

Profit+11.15u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	2.15	1.04%
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WIN	Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves	2.08	1.04%
LOSS	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	2.08	1.31%
WIN	Amedspor - Erzurumspor FK	2.34	1.59%
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Rebordosa - FC Tirsense	2.19	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.14

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 12:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 4d 6h

Updated

Updated 13m ago