Model: TIPPSH
Kataller Toyama – Tegevajaro Miyazaki
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.49
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 3d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Kataller Toyama | Tegevajaro Miyazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-W-D | L-D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-W-W (home) | L-W-W-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.20 for / 5.00 against | 4.00 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.80 for / 3.80 against (home) | 3.80 for / 1.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kataller Toyama's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.6%
7D: 11.5%
15D: 22.4%
30D: 9.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.49Now
Max odds2.56Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Kataller Toyama – Tegevajaro Miyazaki Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample43
Win Rate53.5%
Profit+12.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Club Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Copiapo | 2.42 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Itabirito (W) - Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Olimpico Totana - Real Murcia B | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| WIN | NK Nafta 1903 - NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 2.28 | 1.59% |
| WIN | University NSW - Wollongong Wolves | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Tacoma Stars - FC Olympia | 2.64 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Envigado FC - Real Cartagena | 2.29 | 1.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.49
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 3d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 10h ago