Model: TIPPSH

Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

PREDICTION

@ 2.49

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 49d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 50d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kataller Toyama. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kataller Toyama

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.49Now

Max odds2.56Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kataller ToyamaHOME

Tegevajaro MiyazakiAWAY

WLDWD

Recent form

LDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

6.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

3.00

Home splitW-D-D-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-D-W1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.49

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Kataller Toyama is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 2.6% 7D: 11.5% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 9.1%

Model insight

Kataller Toyama – Tegevajaro Miyazaki Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample121

Win Rate41.3%

Profit-0.53u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East	2.24	1.04%
LOSS	Riverside Olympic - Clarence Zebras FC	2.47	1.59%
WIN	Ocean City Nor'easters - FC Motown STA	2.24	1.04%
LOSS	PK Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	2.35	1.41%
WIN	AZ Reserves - Ajax Reserves	2.25	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.49

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 49d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 50d 1h ago