Athletico Paranaense – Mirassol

Model: TIPPSH

Athletico Paranaense – Mirassol

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 2d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 23h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Athletico Paranaense Mirassol
Last 5 form W-W-D-D-L L-L-W-W-L
Avg goals scored 0.80 0.80
Avg goals conceded 0.60 1.20
Home/Away form W-D-D-W-D (home) L-L-W-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded 0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Shots on target 4.80 for / 2.60 against 3.60 for / 3.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.60 for / 2.00 against (home) 2.20 for / 3.20 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Athletico Paranaense. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Athletico Paranaense is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.6% 7D: 11.5% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 9.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current1.99Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Athletico Paranaense – Mirassol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample128
Win Rate46.1%
Profit-12.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSDreams - Nations FC1.801.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.99
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 2d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 23h ago
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