Athletico Paranaense vs Mirassol
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Athletico Paranaense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Athletico ParanaenseValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Athletico Paranaense has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Athletico Paranaense – Mirassol Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ocean City Nor'easters - FC Motown STA | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Itabirito U20 - Social FC MG U20 | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Zrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Springvale White Eagles - Nunawading | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Leon - Atlas | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | One Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Botafogo - Santos | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Caen - Paris 13 Atletico | 1.98 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East | 1 | 2.24 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| Inter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC | 1 | 1.92 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| Mount Gravatt Hawks - Logan Roos FC | 1 | 2.15 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 11:00 |
| Opava - FC Petrzalka | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 16:00 |
| FC Kosice - Diosgyori VTK | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 18:00 |
| Servette - St Etienne | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 18:00 |