Model: TIPPSH
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 26, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 51d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 20h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botev Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Botev PlovdivGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
29/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.35First seen
Current2.14Now
Max odds3.35Highest point
Min odds2.14Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Botev PlovdivHOME
VS
Arda KardzhaliAWAY
WWLWL
Recent form
LWWWL
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
6.80
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.00
Home splitW-W-W-L-L2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-D1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Botev Plovdiv has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -10.2%
7D: -11.6%
15D: -7.5%
30D: -2.4%
Model insight
Botev Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample730
Win Rate51.1%
Profit+5.79u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Rio Verde - Goianesia | 2.02 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Raufoss - Asane | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - FC Tirsense | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W) | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Molde - Tromso | 2.11 | 1.31% |
| WIN | US Hostert - FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Patricks - Shamrock Rovers | 2.25 | 1.59% |
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| FK Decic Tuzi - FK Bokelj | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 17 Aug 20:00 |
| Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir Reykjavik | 1 | 2.20 | 1.31% | 17 Aug 21:15 |
Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Giu 26, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 51d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 20h ago