Model: TIPPSH

Reynir

PREDICTION

@ 2.04

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 18, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 2h 29m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kormakur/Hvot. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kormakur/Hvot

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kormakur/HvotHOME

Dalvik/ReynirAWAY

WDDWD

Recent form

LLWDW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.20

Shots on target for

5.20

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

5.40

Home splitW-D-W-L-W3.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W-W2.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.04

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kormakur/Hvot's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.8% 7D: 11.5% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 19.4%

Model insight

Kormakur/Hvot – Dalvik/Reynir Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample352

Win Rate47.7%

Profit-13.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Kaisar Kyzylorda - FK Kaspyi Aktau	1.96	1.31%
WIN	JK Tallinna Kalev - JK Nomme United II	1.90	1.31%
LOSS	Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1.85	1.04%
WIN	Servette - St Etienne	2.11	1.04%
WIN	Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East	2.24	1.04%
LOSS	Opava - FC Petrzalka	2.04	1.04%
WIN	Mount Gravatt Hawks - Logan Roos FC	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	South Melbourne U23 - Preston Lions U23	2.01	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.04

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 2h 29m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 31m ago