Lancaster City – Warrington Rylands

Model: TIPPSH

Lancaster City vs Warrington Rylands

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 11, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 21h 54m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lancaster City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lancaster CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.122

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lancaster CityHOME
VS
Warrington RylandsAWAY
LWDWD
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
0.80
Shots on target for
3.67
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
1.33
3.40
Home splitD-W-W-W2.50 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-D1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Northern Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.70
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -16.3% 7D: -2.6% 15D: 8.6% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Lancaster City – Warrington Rylands Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample75
Win Rate44.0%
Profit+12.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINAuckland FC II - East Coast Bays2.502.49%
WINBury Town - Halesowen2.954.53%
WINHapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva2.453.15%
WINVanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama2.934.53%
LOSSOtrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac2.804.53%
WINFC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi2.904.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Llaneros - Deportes Tolima12.732.49%15 Aug 01:00
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Sheff Utd - Birmingham12.622.49%15 Aug 18:30
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Ago 11, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 21h 54m
Updated
Updated 14m ago
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