Model: TIPPSA

Le Havre vs Brest

PREDICTION

@ 2.62

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 05, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 4d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brest. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BrestGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.018 | A: -0.156

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.82First seen

Current2.74Now

Max odds2.89Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Le HavreHOME

BrestAWAY

LDLWL

Recent form

WDDLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.80

Shots on target for

4.20

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.80

4.20

Home splitL-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-W-L1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.62. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.62

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Brest's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -6.5% 7D: 5.3% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 6.0%

Model insight

Le Havre – Brest Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.62. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample162

Win Rate44.4%

Profit+22.82u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Song Lam Nghe An - Bac Ninh	2.84	4.96%
LOSS	Gateshead - Solihull Moors	2.64	4.13%
LOSS	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	2.42	4.13%
WIN	Deportivo Moquegua - Alianza Atletico	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Hartberg - SV Ried	2.50	4.13%
WIN	Deportes Limache - Everton de Vina	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Padova - Verona	2.64	4.13%
LOSS	KVC Houtvenne - OH Leuven II	2.41	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.62

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 4d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 4d 10h ago