Model: TIPPSA

Song Lam Nghe An vs Bac Ninh

PREDICTION

@ 2.86

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 06, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 3d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bac Ninh. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bac NinhGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.03First seen

Current2.86Now

Max odds3.03Highest point

Min odds2.68Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Song Lam Nghe AnHOME

Bac NinhAWAY

WLLWL

Recent form

LDLWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

2.20

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

6.00

Home splitW-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.86. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Vietnam V-League (vn). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.86

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Bac Ninh is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 3.0% 7D: 12.2% 15D: 11.4% 30D: 6.5%

Model insight

Song Lam Nghe An – Bac Ninh Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample76

Win Rate38.2%

Profit+2.39u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Le Havre - Brest	2.69	4.13%
LOSS	Gateshead - Solihull Moors	2.64	4.13%
WIN	Deportivo Moquegua - Alianza Atletico	2.63	4.13%
WIN	Deportes Limache - Everton de Vina	2.63	4.13%
LOSS	Padova - Verona	2.64	4.13%
LOSS	Grazer AK - Wolfsberger AC	2.72	3.43%
LOSS	Dunfermline - Raith	2.66	3.59%
LOSS	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano	2.75	3.61%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.86

Kickoff

Set 06, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166

Start

Started 3d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 3d 21h ago