Leiknir Reykjavik – KF Aegir

Model: TIPPSH

Leiknir Reykjavik vs KF Aegir

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.65
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 1h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leiknir Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Leiknir ReykjavikGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.050 | A: -0.106

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.77First seen
Current1.65Now
Max odds1.77Highest point
Min odds1.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Leiknir ReykjavikHOME
VS
KF AegirAWAY
LWLLL
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.20
3.20
Shots on target for
3.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.40
Home splitW-L-L-D-W1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-L1.20 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 1 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.65
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -19.6% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 0.8% 30D: 4.2%
Model insight

Leiknir Reykjavik – KF Aegir Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample369
Win Rate62.1%
Profit+15.40u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAland United (W) - HPS (W)1.71-10.11%
WINONS (W) - HJK II (W)1.65-7.35%
WINOdd II - Hinna1.64-9.21%
WINCD Constitucion Unido - Puente Alto1.68-9.21%
LOSSMorocco (W) - Algeria (W)1.69-9.21%
LOSSBradford - Peterborough1.65-7.35%
WINDeportivo Saprissa - Cartagines1.67-7.35%
WINMacclesfield - Radcliffe FC1.63-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.65
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 1d 1h
Updated
Updated 7m ago
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