Model: TIPPSH

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 20, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 20h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lincoln Red Imps FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lincoln Red Imps FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: -0.101

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.51Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lincoln Red Imps FCHOME

Larne FCAWAY

LDDLD

Recent form

DLDLL

Avg goals scored

0.40

0.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.20

Shots on target for

4.67

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.60

Home splitD-D-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.05

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Lincoln Red Imps FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -11.9% 7D: -24.0% 15D: -4.9% 30D: 1.1%

Model insight

Lincoln Red Imps FC – Larne FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample680

Win Rate49.9%

Profit+3.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Pena Sport - Mutilvera	1.86	1.04%
LOSS	Scolar Resita - Petrolul Ploiesti	2.05	1.31%
WIN	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - SC Kfar Qasim	1.80	1.31%
WIN	Hapoel Rishon Lezion - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2.14	1.31%
LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Centro Espanol - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.26	1.59%
WIN	Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves	2.08	1.04%
LOSS	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	2.08	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Ago 20, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d 22h

Updated

Updated 20h 39m ago