Torquay – Weston Super Mare

Model: TIPPSH

Torquay vs Weston Super Mare

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.11
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 18, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Torquay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TorquayGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.022 | A: 0.159

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.88First seen
Current2.11Now
Max odds2.11Highest point
Min odds1.86Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TorquayHOME
VS
Weston Super MareAWAY
WDWWL
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.60
Shots on target for
5.20
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
3.40
Home splitD-W-W-L-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L-D1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.11
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -16.2% 7D: -18.7% 15D: -2.5% 30D: 2.8%
Model insight

Torquay – Weston Super Mare Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample614
Win Rate48.4%
Profit+0.40u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSRebordosa - FC Tirsense2.191.04%
LOSSAlhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W)1.911.31%
WINVilla San Carlos - Defensores Unidos2.251.59%
WINMolde - Tromso2.111.31%
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Pick
1 @ 2.11
Kickoff
Ago 18, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 1d
Updated
Updated 9m ago
Torna in alto