Mallorca – Valladolid

Model: TIPPSH

Mallorca vs Valladolid

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.72
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 21h 35m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -8.30% · n=180
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mallorca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MallorcaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.100 | A: 0.205

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.72First seen
Current1.72Now
Max odds1.72Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MallorcaHOME
VS
ValladolidAWAY
WDWWW
Recent form
LWLWD
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.80
Shots on target for
5.20
1.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.00
Home splitW-D-W-W-W2.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -8.30% based on n=180 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.72
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandNONEROI -8.30% · n=180
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Mallorca, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mallorca's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -19.8% 7D: -13.6% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 6.2%
Model insight

Mallorca – Valladolid Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.21% and -8.30%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample370
Win Rate62.2%
Profit+16.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAland United (W) - HPS (W)1.71-10.11%
WINONS (W) - HJK II (W)1.65-7.35%
WINOdd II - Hinna1.64-9.21%
WINCD Constitucion Unido - Puente Alto1.68-9.21%
LOSSMorocco (W) - Algeria (W)1.69-9.21%
LOSSBradford - Peterborough1.65-7.35%
WINDeportivo Saprissa - Cartagines1.67-7.35%
WINMacclesfield - Radcliffe FC1.63-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.72
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-8.30% • n=180
Start
Started 21h 35m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 39m ago
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