Model: TIPPSA
Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 23d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Malmo FF | Mjällby AIF |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-W-W | W-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W (home) | W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 2.33 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 6.00 against | 5.00 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 5.67 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Mjällby AIF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.15First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample79
Win Rate38.0%
Profit-0.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
| LOSS | Motor Lublin - Cracovia Krakow | 2.53 | 3.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 23d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 11h ago