Mosul FC vs Karbalaa FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Karbalaa FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Karbalaa FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.036 | A: 0.062Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.37% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iraq Stars League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Karbalaa FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Mosul FC – Karbalaa FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Dodoma Jiji FC - Polisi Tanzania FC | 3.90 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | LDU Quito - SD Aucas | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| WIN | KF Shkendija Haracine - KF Arsimi | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Clachnacuddin - Nairn County | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Maipu - Quilmes | 3.75 | 4.37% |
| WIN | Comercial U20 - Rio Branco SP U20 | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| WIN | KKS 1925 Kalisz - Notec Czarnkow | 3.90 | 4.73% |
| LOSS | Nestos Chrisoupolis - Apollon Kalamarias | 4.10 | 4.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - FK Radnik Surdulica | 2 | 3.90 | 4.37% | 29 Aug 18:00 |