Model: TipA1

Dodoma Jiji FC vs Polisi Tanzania FC

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 25, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 3d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.27% · n=211

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.70% · n=81

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Polisi Tanzania FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Polisi Tanzania FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.109 | A: 0.108

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.90First seen

Current4.00Now

Max odds4.00Highest point

Min odds3.90Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dodoma Jiji FCHOME

Polisi Tanzania FCAWAY

LLDLD

Recent form

WWDLW

Avg goals scored

0.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.40

Shots on target for

1.60

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

2.20

Home splitL-D-D-D-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-L1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.70% based on n=81 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Tanzania Premier League (tz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.90

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.27% · n=211

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.70% · n=81

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Polisi Tanzania FC has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Polisi Tanzania FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 26.4% 7D: 27.1% 15D: 5.8% 30D: 6.6%

Model insight

Dodoma Jiji FC – Polisi Tanzania FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.27% and 4.70%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample64

Win Rate28.1%

Profit+5.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Mosul FC - Karbalaa FC	4.00	4.37%
LOSS	LDU Quito - SD Aucas	3.75	2.27%
WIN	KF Shkendija Haracine - KF Arsimi	3.75	2.27%
LOSS	Deportivo Maipu - Quilmes	3.75	4.37%
WIN	Comercial U20 - Rio Branco SP U20	4.00	2.27%
WIN	KKS 1925 Kalisz - Notec Czarnkow	3.90	4.73%
LOSS	Nestos Chrisoupolis - Apollon Kalamarias	4.10	4.37%
LOSS	FK Graficar Beograd - Loznica	3.75	4.37%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - FK Radnik Surdulica	2	3.90	4.37%	29 Aug 18:00

Pick

2 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Ago 25, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.27% • n=211

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.70% • n=81

Start

Started 3d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 4d 9h ago