Naga World FC – MOI Kompong Dewa FC

Model: TIPPSH

Naga World FC vs MOI Kompong Dewa FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 69d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 69d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Naga World FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Naga World FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.73Now
Max odds1.76Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Naga World FCHOME
VS
MOI Kompong Dewa FCAWAY
LDLL
Recent form
WWLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.50
1.50
Shots on target for
4.67
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.67
7.00
Home splitL-L-L1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=76 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Cambodia Premier League (kh). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.78
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.8% 7D: -4.3% 15D: -1.0% 30D: 10.1%
Model insight

Naga World FC – MOI Kompong Dewa FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate55.6%
Profit+0.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBotafogo SP - Avai1.966.72%
WINUniversity NSW U20 - St George Saints U201.966.72%
WINJincheon HR - Gijang United1.906.72%
WINKeflavik - Thor Akureyri1.826.72%
LOSSNational Bank - El Gounah1.765.21%
LOSSAntwerp - Standard Liege2.025.21%
WINAl-Ahli Doha U19 - Muaither SC U191.935.21%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik - Breidablik1.835.21%
Pick
1 @ 1.78
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=76
Start
Started 69d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 69d 6h ago
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