Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum Zarafshon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nasaf Qarshi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nasaf QarshiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.051 | A: -0.104Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uzbekistan PFL (uz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Nasaf Qarshi as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Nasaf Qarshi is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Nasaf Qarshi – Qizilqum Zarafshon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Crusaders - Newington FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Club Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri | 1.75 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | San Diego Wave (W) - Reign FC (W) | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | CA San Miguel - Acassuso | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Tobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau | 1.71 | -4.66% |
| WIN | PPJ U21 - Atlantis U21 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Chungnam Asan FC - Siheung City AC | 1 | 1.72 | -6.04% | 29 Jul 12:00 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 31 Jul 17:30 |
| LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 31 Jul 18:00 |
| Slovan Liberec - FK Teplice | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 17:00 |
| Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United | 1 | 1.71 | -7.35% | 02 Aug 01:30 |