Model: TIPPSH

Needham Market vs Halesowen

PREDICTION

@ 2.39

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 2h 55m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 57m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Needham Market. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Needham MarketGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.050 | A: -0.035

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.45First seen

Current2.39Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.37Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Needham MarketHOME

HalesowenAWAY

LLWLD

Recent form

WWLDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

4.40

1.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

2.60

Home splitL-L-W-L-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.39. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Southern Premier League Central (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.39

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Needham Market is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 35.3% 7D: 21.8% 15D: 1.7% 30D: 3.7%

Model insight

Needham Market – Halesowen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample353

Win Rate42.2%

Profit-6.80u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	AC Taverne - FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	Koninklijke HFC - Barendrecht	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	NK Bilje - NK Bistrica	2.20	1.04%
WIN	Madla - Vidar	2.47	1.41%
LOSS	Rade IL - Follo	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Bulls FC Academy - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Chichester City - Chippenham Town	2.50	1.59%
WIN	INAC Leonessa (W) - Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2.48	1.59%

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Nice - Lorient	1	2.14	1.04%	22 Aug 20:45

Pick

1 @ 2.39

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 2h 55m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 57m ago