Model: TIPPSH

Madla vs Vidar

PREDICTION

@ 2.47

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 1d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Madla. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MadlaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.028 | A: -0.079

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.47Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MadlaHOME

VidarAWAY

WDWWW

Recent form

LLLWL

Avg goals scored

3.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

3.40

Shots on target for

8.00

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

7.00

Home splitW-W-W-D-W3.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 3.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.47. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Cup (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.47

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Madla's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 38.5% 7D: 21.1% 15D: 2.2% 30D: 3.9%

Model insight

Madla – Vidar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.47. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample284

Win Rate42.3%

Profit+3.53u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Mbeya City - Mashujaa FC	2.47	1.59%
LOSS	Real Esteli - Diriangen	2.42	1.59%
WIN	EB/Streymur - AB Argir	2.39	1.59%
WIN	Sagamihara - Zweigen Kanazawa	2.29	1.59%
WIN	Leon U19 - Monterrey U19	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Roosendaal - FC Lisse	2.65	1.59%
LOSS	Needham Market - Halesowen	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	Bulls FC Academy - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.30	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.47

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Started 1d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 5h ago