Model: TIPPSH

New England Revolution vs New York City FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 24, 2026 12:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 15h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New England Revolution. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New England RevolutionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.039 | A: 0.035

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.64First seen

Current2.63Now

Max odds2.64Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New England RevolutionHOME

New York City FCAWAY

WLLDW

Recent form

LLLLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.80

Shots on target for

5.40

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

7.00

Home splitL-W-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, New England Revolution shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 67.3% 7D: 3.6% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 4.2%

Model insight

New England Revolution – New York City FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample110

Win Rate41.8%

Profit+7.82u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CA Atlas Reserves - JJ Urquiza Reserves	2.84	4.53%
LOSS	Gloria Popesti Leordeni - FC Bacau	2.45	2.49%
LOSS	Inchicore Athletic FC - Wayside Celtic	2.64	2.49%
LOSS	Olimpia Elblag - Widzew Lodz II	2.45	2.49%
WIN	Kalamata - Panetolikos	2.45	2.49%
LOSS	Jaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U19	2.42	2.49%
WIN	Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles FC	2.74	2.49%
WIN	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	2.49	2.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
First Vienna FC 1894 (W) - SK Sturm Graz (W)	1	2.40	3.15%	21 Aug 19:30
Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Shonan Bellmare	1	2.44	3.15%	22 Aug 12:00
Belshina Bobruisk - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1	2.83	4.53%	22 Aug 13:00
Sutton Utd - Hartlepool	1	2.63	2.49%	22 Aug 13:30
Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	1	2.88	4.53%	22 Aug 16:00
Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1	2.76	4.53%	22 Aug 19:00
Troyes - Paris FC	1	2.88	4.53%	22 Aug 20:45
Chungbuk Cheongju - Gyeongnam FC	1	2.60	3.15%	23 Aug 12:30

Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Ago 24, 2026 12:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Starts in 2d 15h

Updated

Updated 1d ago