Newmarket vs AC Carina
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Newmarket. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NewmarketGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 3 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Newmarket. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Newmarket – AC Carina Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | HooGee - EPS Reservi | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Aryan FC - Measurers Club | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CD Lara - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza | 2.02 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FK Zhenys - Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Miedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sacz - Gornik Leczna | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 18:00 |
| SKU Amstetten - Hertha Wels | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 18:30 |