North Texas SC vs Minnesota United FC II
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is North Texas SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: North Texas SCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.130 | A: 0.012Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.77. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to North Texas SC's attacking profile.
North Texas SC – Minnesota United FC II Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Gyor Eto FC (W) - Puskas FC (W) | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Yangpyeong FC - Gyeongju HNP | 2.99 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Belshina Bobruisk - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2.83 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | CA Atlas Reserves - JJ Urquiza Reserves | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Tonbridge Angels - Truro City | 2.88 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Inchicore Athletic FC - Wayside Celtic | 2.64 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2.76 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Sutton Utd - Hartlepool | 2.63 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes - Paris FC | 1 | 2.88 | 4.53% | 22 Aug 20:45 |
| Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 | 2.63 | 2.49% | 23 Aug 01:00 |
| Akron Tolyatti - Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 2.90 | 4.53% | 23 Aug 12:00 |
| Chungbuk Cheongju - Gyeongnam FC | 1 | 2.60 | 3.15% | 23 Aug 12:30 |
| New England Revolution - New York City FC | 1 | 2.63 | 2.49% | 23 Aug 22:30 |