North Texas SC – Minnesota United FC II

Model: TIPPSH

North Texas SC vs Minnesota United FC II

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.77
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 4:45 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 7h 29m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is North Texas SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: North Texas SCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.130 | A: 0.012

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.54First seen
Current2.77Now
Max odds2.77Highest point
Min odds2.54Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

North Texas SCHOME
VS
Minnesota United FC IIAWAY
DLWLD
Recent form
DLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.40
2.00
Shots on target for
4.80
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
8.00
Home splitD-L-W-D-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.77. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.77
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to North Texas SC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 23.2% 7D: 17.3% 15D: 2.4% 30D: 3.9%
Model insight

North Texas SC – Minnesota United FC II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample97
Win Rate47.4%
Profit+29.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINGyor Eto FC (W) - Puskas FC (W)2.602.49%
LOSSYangpyeong FC - Gyeongju HNP2.994.53%
WINBelshina Bobruisk - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk2.834.53%
LOSSCA Atlas Reserves - JJ Urquiza Reserves2.844.53%
LOSSTonbridge Angels - Truro City2.884.53%
LOSSInchicore Athletic FC - Wayside Celtic2.642.49%
WINIroni Tiberias - Hapoel Petah Tikva2.764.53%
WINSutton Utd - Hartlepool2.632.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Troyes - Paris FC12.884.53%22 Aug 20:45
Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine12.632.49%23 Aug 01:00
Akron Tolyatti - Krylia Sovetov12.904.53%23 Aug 12:00
Chungbuk Cheongju - Gyeongnam FC12.603.15%23 Aug 12:30
New England Revolution - New York City FC12.632.49%23 Aug 22:30
Pick
1 @ 2.77
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 4:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 7h 29m
Updated
Updated 13m ago
Torna in alto