Model: TIPPSH

Nottm Forest vs Blackburn

PREDICTION

@ 1.74

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 22, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 12h 26m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.04% · n=271

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nottm Forest. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nottm ForestGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.029 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

4/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.29First seen

Current1.67Now

Max odds1.67Highest point

Min odds1.29Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nottm ForestHOME

BlackburnAWAY

WDLDL

Recent form

DLWDL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.20

Shots on target for

4.80

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

4.60

Home splitD-D-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-D-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.04% based on n=271 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.74

V2 BandNONEROI -6.04% · n=271

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nottm Forest's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 4.6% 7D: 24.7% 15D: 19.3% 30D: 21.8%

Model insight

Nottm Forest – Blackburn Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.04% across 271 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample224

Win Rate58.0%

Profit-5.67u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Suduva Marijampole - Hegelmann Litauen	1.71	-9.21%
LOSS	Japan Soccer College - Artista Asama	1.71	-6.04%
LOSS	Avondale U23 - St Albans Saints U23	1.68	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.74

Kickoff

Lug 22, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -6.04% • n=271

Start

Starts in 12h 26m

Updated

Updated 1h 27m ago