Osasuna – Atletico Madrid

Model: TIPPSA

Osasuna – Atletico Madrid

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 12, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 14d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14d 10h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Osasuna Atletico Madrid
Last 5 form L-L-L-W-L W-L-L-W-D
Avg goals scored 1.20 1.00
Avg goals conceded 1.80 0.80
Home/Away form L-L-W-D (home) W-L-W-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Shots on target 4.40 for / 5.00 against 3.80 for / 2.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 3.25 against (home) 3.20 for / 3.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Atletico Madrid. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.77First seen
Current2.73Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

Osasuna – Atletico Madrid Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample86
Win Rate37.2%
Profit-2.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCadiz - Leganes2.864.96%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
WINHelsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC2.634.13%
LOSSShenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy2.884.96%
WINGuayaquil City - Orense2.483.59%
WINAlmagro - San Martin SJ2.624.44%
WINPolonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw2.573.31%
WINFH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri2.544.44%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.71
Kickoff
Mag 12, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 14d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 14d 10h ago
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