Model: TIPPSH
Oviedo vs Burgos
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 06, 2026 6:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 16h 35m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 50m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Oviedo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: OviedoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.018 | A: 0.033Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
29/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
OviedoHOME
VS
BurgosAWAY
DWLDW
Recent form
DDLWD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.40
Home splitD-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-W0.80 scored / 0.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.98
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 5.3%
7D: 14.1%
15D: 12.3%
30D: 6.9%
Model insight
Oviedo – Burgos Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1060
Win Rate48.6%
Profit-47.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Mineros - Atletico Avila | 1.86 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Marbella FC - Atletico Sanluqueno | 2.11 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Eupen II - La Calamine | 2.06 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Mlawianka Mlawa - LKS Lodz II | 2.17 | 1.31% |
| WIN | ADR Jicaral - Quepos Cambute FC | 2.07 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Alverca B - Benfica e Castelo Branco | 1.91 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Yunnan Yukun - Liaoning Ironman | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Plasencia - Santa Amalia | 2.22 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 6:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 16h 35m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 50m ago